MAP/BCG malaria & climate report Mini Toolkit – Amplifying Findings from the Report « Climate Impacts on Malaria in Africa » 

To better understand how climate change will affect the burden of malaria in Africa, the Malaria Atlas Project (MAP) and Boston Consulting Group developed a climate model to predict changes in extreme weather events and to estimate their impact on malaria deaths through 2049. The modeling leverages multiple scenarios and numerical models, as well as leading insurance industry data on flood risk, the first and most rigorous quantitative impact analysis to date. The report and key findings are available here. 

Following the recent launch of the WHO World Malaria Report 2024, the findings of the « Climate Impacts on Malaria in Africa » report are a powerful call to action, underscoring the urgent need to invest in malaria programs, especially in the face of emerging threats such as climate change. 

Key messages from the report 

• The Human Cost: Climate change could lead to over 550,000 additional malaria deaths in Africa from 2030 to 2049, reversing hard-won gains in malaria control. 

• Urgency of Action: Delayed eradication will increase both human and financial costs—early investment is critical for sustainable progress. 

• Call for Innovation: Climate-resilient tools and adaptive health systems are essential to counteract extreme weather impacts. 

• Integration is Key: Linking malaria eradication with climate adaptation efforts strengthens health systems and saves lives.